Tropical wave off Florida; storms bring torrential rains to the southeast

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As a slow storm continues to draw tropical moisture from the Gulf of Mexico to the southeastern United States, the National Hurricane Center is tracking a tropical wave east of Florida.

Located in the northeast of the Bahamas is a tropical depression that has a low likelihood of development as it slowly moves north this week.

“Although there will be a lot of tropical humidity flooding the southeast [from the feature], strong wind shear or disturbing winds in the atmosphere are likely to hamper the development of a tropical or subtropical storm over the next few days, ”said Randy Adkins, senior meteorologist at AccuWeather.

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Tropical development of the system could increase over the weekend or early next week as the jet stream plunges south under the storm currently hitting the southeast, which is expected to move northeast. .

The storm that brought more than 8 inches of rain to Pensacola on Monday is expected to bring even more rain to the southeastern United States, according to AccuWeather.

The National Weather Service in Tallahassee warned residents that heavy rain, strong winds and a brief tornado are possible as showers and thunderstorms move through the area today and into the evening.

Flash flood watches and warnings were in effect in the Florida panhandle, much of Alabama, northern Georgia, as well as parts of Mississippi and Louisiana.

“A slow storm will continue to draw tropical moisture from the Gulf of Mexico, allowing heavy downpours to continue to pour into the region for most of the week,” said AccuWeather senior meteorologist Paul Walker.

Conditions near Florida at 5 a.m. on October 6, 2021.

Here is the latest NHC update as of October 6 at 8:00 a.m.:

What is outside and where is it?

Disturbance 1: A surface trough about 200 miles east of Florida’s east coast continues to produce disorganized showers and thunderstorms well east of its axis due to strong upper winds.

How likely is it to get stronger?

Disturbance 1:

Winds are not expected to be conducive to significant development of this system as it moves slowly north and then northeast off the southeast coast of the United States over the next few days.

By the weekend, the system is expected to interact with a front near the coast of the southeastern United States, which is also expected to limit tropical development.

  • Chance of training for 48 hours: low, close to 0%.
  • Chance of training over 5 days: low, 10 percent.

Who is likely to be impacted?

Conditions near Florida at 5 a.m. on October 6, 2021.

Disturbance 1: At this time, no direct impact is expected from any feature that forms, as the system would likely move northeast over the Atlantic, according to AccuWeather.

Surf and tear currents from the Georgia coast to northern New Jersey are expected during the first half of next week.

Tropical humidity nearby could also bring more rain to the east coast.

Forecasters urge all residents to continue monitoring the tropics and always be prepared during what is expected to be an active hurricane season.

Tropical monitoring in real time:

These graphs, which update automatically, show you activity in the tropics in real time:

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What’s outside?

And after?

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